In 2023, the import volume of frozen bone-in swine hams, shoulders and cuts to France stood at approximately 4.00 million kilograms. Forecasts indicate a declining trend from 2024 to 2028, with an estimated decrease of 15.8% over five years. Year-on-year declines are projected as follows: a drop of 4.1% in 2025, 4.2% in 2026, 4.3% in 2027, and 4.4% in 2028, resulting in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -4.2% from 2024 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Possible shifts in domestic production that could further influence import volumes.
- Fluctuations in global pork market prices affecting cost and demand.
- Changes in consumer preferences towards alternative proteins impacting swine product imports.
- Potential trade policy adjustments or tariff influences at the international level.