The forecast for methane emissions, excluding land use, land-use change, and forestry, in the U.S. from 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent decline. At 714.86 million metric tons of CO2 equivalent in 2024, there is an annual decrease, reaching 698.6 million metric tons by 2028. This marks a year-on-year reduction of approximately 0.58% for 2025, 0.57% for 2026, 0.57% for 2027, and 0.57% for 2028. In 2023, actual methane emissions were slightly higher. The compounded average growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is about -0.57% annually.

Future trends to watch for:

Regulatory changes impacting methane emission controls in the oil and gas sector.
Advancements in technology for methane capture and reduction.
Implementation of stricter environmental policies or agreements, both domestically and globally.
Development and adoption of renewable energy sources reducing reliance on methane-intensive processes.