Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Pollution in Japan

In 2023, Japan’s share in the top 10% most-cited publications in pollution is not explicitly stated in the data but has been declining consistently in the subsequent years. Forecasts predict a gradual decrease from 5.05% in 2024 to 3.77% in 2028. This reflects a negative trend in Japan's citation share, averaging a 6.7% annual decline from 2024 onwards.

Future trends to observe include:

  • Potential shifts in research focus or funding that might affect publication quality.
  • Increased international collaboration that could influence citation impact.
  • The role of technological advancements in pollution-related research and publications.
  • Japan's strategic response to increasing competition in scientific research globally.

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