Forecast: Fresh Grapefruits Supply in Canada

In 2023, the supply of fresh grapefruits in Canada stood at 33.5 thousand metric tons. Based on forecast data, the supply in 2024 is expected to reach 33.07 thousand metric tons, indicating a year-on-year decline of -1.28% from 2023 to 2024. This downward trend continues from 2025 through 2028, with the supply gradually decreasing to 31.86 thousand metric tons in 2028. The last two years' variations are:

- From 2023 to 2024: -1.28%

- From 2024 to 2025: -1.06%

Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected to be -0.95%, indicating an average annual decrease in supply.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Monitor consumer preferences towards citrus fruits, as changes could affect demand and supply dynamics.
  • Keep an eye on potential impacts of climate change on grapefruit cultivation, which could influence future supply levels.
  • Observe any new agricultural technologies or practices that might improve yield and offset the declining trend.
  • Economic factors such as trade policies and tariffs that may impact grapefruit imports and availability in Canada.

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