The following forecast predicts that China's carbon dioxide emissions will rise from 10.86 billion metric tons in 2024 to 11.6 billion metric tons by 2028. While the year-on-year growth rate indicates a gradual increase of approximately 1.7% to 1.8% annually, a more comprehensive view showing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 1.7% over five years reveals a consistent upward trend from the last known figure of 2023, which was approximately 10.67 billion metric tons.

Future Trends to Watch:

Efforts in green technology adoption and policy changes aimed at reducing emissions.
China's energy transition away from fossil fuels, particularly coal-driven power, towards renewable sources.
International pressure and commitments, such as adhering to the Paris Agreement, may influence future emissions strategy.