In 2023, Italy's production of Atlantic mackerel in capture fisheries stood at 420 metric tons. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 project a significant downward trajectory. The production is expected to drop steadily, hitting just 65.5 metric tons by 2028. Year-on-year, the production volumes show marked decreases: approximately 21% from 2024 to 2025, 25.7% from 2025 to 2026, 33.3% from 2026 to 2027, and 48.0% from 2027 to 2028. Over these years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) forecasts an average annual decrease of 31.4%, highlighting a declining trend in mackerel production.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential regulatory changes impacting the fishing sector.
Environmental shifts affecting mackerel populations.
Market demand fluctuations and their impact on sustainable fishing practices.
Adoption of new fishing technologies or methods that could alter production capacity.
Increased emphasis on sustainable practices and eco-friendly certifications.