Mutton and goat meat production in Kenya has experienced a significant decline from 2014 to 2023, dropping from 109.0 thousand metric tons to 41.0 thousand metric tons. The year-on-year variation shows fluctuating trends, with large decreases in 2015 (-12.84%) and 2017 (-34.62%), intermittent recovery in 2018 (21.57%), and a consistent decline observed in the last five years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over recent years reflects a shrinking market, particularly pronounced with a -7.94% decline by 2023.
Future trends to watch for include potential interventions in agricultural practices, climate change effects influencing livestock numbers, and market changes that might affect local mutton and goat meat production. Additionally, policies encouraging sustainable farming and innovations might alleviate the steady decline, which is forecasted to continue at a CAGR of -10.31% through 2028, with production reaching 21.3 thousand metric tons.
