Forecast: International Departures Number in Italy

The international departures from Italy are projected to see a steady increase from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the actual number of international departures stood at approximately 64.5 million. From 2024 onwards, we expect a consistent annual growth, with year-on-year variations demonstrating a gradual upward trend. Specifically, the year-on-year growth rates are estimated to be around 0.86% between 2024 and 2025, continuing to 0.83% to 2026, a further increase to 0.81% by 2027, and peaking at 0.79% through to 2028. This reflects a compound annual growth rate of moderately higher than 0.8% over the five-year forecast horizon.

Key future trends to monitor include:

• The impact of economic conditions on travel demand, as fluctuating economies can affect consumer spending on international travel.
• Potential shifts in travel patterns due to industry innovations, such as increased use of digital travel services and changes in travel behavior post-pandemic.
• Environmental policies affecting aviation and travel choices, potentially influencing the frequency and volume of international departures.