Forecast: Cassava Production in Kenya

Kenya's cassava production has shown varying trends over the past decade, peaking at 1,049.5 thousand metric tons in 2023. From 2013 to around 2016, production saw a decline, then rebounded significantly in 2017. 2018 marked a strong recovery, most likely due to improved agricultural practices or favorable weather. Recent years indicate steady growth, with notable year-on-year increases since 2021. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the last five years is 2.1%, representing a moderate upward trend in cassava production.

Future projections suggest continued growth in cassava production, with expected increases to 1,173.3 thousand metric tons by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR stands at 1.76%, suggesting sustained though modest growth. Key future trends to watch include advances in agricultural technology, climate change impacts, and shifts in both domestic and global demand for cassava and its derivative products.

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