The whole fresh goat milk production in Southern Africa has seen a fluctuating trend over the past decade. From a peak of 18.2 thousand metric tons in 2013, production decreased significantly to 11.82 thousand metric tons in 2023. Year-on-year variations show notable declines, especially between 2013 and 2015. Despite small rebounds in 2016, 2018, and 2021, the general trend leans downward. For example, the year-on-year variation for 2023 stood at -1.4%, following a similar decline in 2022 at -1.42%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years is -1.14%.
Looking forward, the forecast indicates a continuing decline in whole fresh goat milk production, with the volume expected to drop to 10.94 thousand metric tons by 2028. The forecasted CAGR for the next five years is -1.22%, pointing to sustained albeit gradual reduction in production.
Future trends to watch for include potential changes in farming practices, environmental factors like climate change affecting goat herding regions, and market dynamics such as shifts in consumer preferences and demand for dairy alternatives. Monitoring these factors could provide insights into production variances and potential areas for growth or further decline.
