Forecast: Import of Sparkling Grape Wines to South Africa

Between 2013 and 2023, the import value of sparkling grape wines to South Africa rose from $17.15 million to $38.805 million. This period saw fluctuations, including notable increases in 2014 (15.98%) and a significant spike in 2018 (61.45%). Conversely, marked downturns occurred in 2015 (-4.46%) and 2020 (-12.71%). The year-on-year variation in 2023 was 4.22%, and the average annual growth rate over the past five years (CAGR) was 2.59%.

Looking ahead, the forecast data for 2024 onward suggests a continued upward trend, with a projected CAGR of 3.01% from 2023 to 2028, leading to an anticipated import value of $47.012 million by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Fluctuations in global wine prices and their impact on import levels.
  • Changes in consumer preferences and their influence on the demand for sparkling grape wines.
  • Potential effects of trade policies and economic conditions on import volumes.

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