Forecast: Coffee Consumption in Brazil

The forecast for coffee consumption in Brazil shows a steady annual increase from 24.53 million units in 2024 to 26.02 million units in 2028. Taking 2023 as a baseline, this represents a continuous upward trend, reflecting a solid growth trajectory for this period. The year-on-year variation for 2024 to 2025 is approximately 1.6%, with each subsequent year showing a consistent growth of around 1.5% to 1.7%. The Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 averages to about 1.5% annually.

Factors driving this growth could include increased domestic demand due to rising disposable incomes and a growing café culture, alongside potential improvements in marketing and distribution strategies by coffee producers. There are several future trends to watch for:

• Introduction of specialty coffee and premium varieties which could alter consumer preferences
• Impact of sustainability practices and certifications on consumer demand
• Innovations in coffee production and processing that may influence supply dynamics
• Potential influence of international market trends and trade policies on local consumption patterns