Forecast: Pesticides Use on Crops in Kenya

The pesticide use on crops in Kenya has exhibited a notable downward trend over the past few years. From 2013 to 2019, the pesticide application remained steady at 0.25 kilograms per hectare. However, beginning in 2020, there has been a discernible decline, with values dropping to 0.24 kg/ha and continuing to decrease annually. By 2023, the use stood at 0.23 kg/ha, highlighting a 4.17% decrease since 2022 and a steady decline, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -1.65% over the last five years.

Future predictions suggest this declining trend will persist, with forecasted values reaching 0.21 kg/ha by 2028. This represents a projected five-year CAGR of -0.93% and a 4.55% reduction compared to 2023.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The impact of sustainable farming practices and organic farming trends on pesticide use.
  • Government policies and regulations concerning pesticide use and environmental health.
  • Technological advancements in pest control alternatives.
  • Market demand for organic-certified crops.

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