Forecast: Whole Fresh Cow Milk Production in Indonesia

The whole fresh cow milk production in Indonesia has steadily increased from 786.87 thousand metric tons in 2013 to 1068.6 thousand metric tons in 2023, marking a significant upward trend. The year-on-year growth over the last two years shows a variation of 1.94% in 2022 and 1.87% in 2023, reflecting consistent, yet modest growth. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years, from 2018 to 2023, is 2.36%, indicating a stable increase in production.

Looking ahead, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests that whole fresh cow milk production will continue to grow, though at a slightly reduced average rate. The forecasted five-year CAGR is 1.44%, with an anticipated total growth of 7.42% over this period. The production volume is expected to reach 1171.1 thousand metric tons by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Technological advancements in dairy farming and improved feed quality enhancing production efficiency.
  • Potential impacts of climate change on dairy farming practices and milk yield.
  • Government policies and incentives aimed at boosting local milk production and reducing dependency on imports.
  • Consumer demand trends, including shifts towards organic and non-GMO milk options.

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