Forecast: Duck Meat Slaughtering in France

Duck meat slaughtering in France has shown considerable volatility over the past decade. Starting at 78.59 million units in 2013, the numbers peaked in 2015 at 81.02 million units. Following this, a significant decline was observed, hitting a low of 64.78 million units in 2017. Although there was a recovery to 73.18 million units by 2018, the trend remained mostly downward, reaching 68.96 million units in 2023.

Year-on-year variation analysis reveals substantial fluctuations:• A sharp decline in 2016 (-13.55%) and 2017 (-7.52%) • Recovery in 2018 with a 12.98% increase• Generally declining or minimal growth from 2019 to 2023, with -0.6% in both 2022 and 2023

The last five years exhibit an average annual decrease (CAGR) of -1.18% up to 2023.

Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 suggest a continued decline with a five-year CAGR of -0.5%, projecting a 2.49% decrease by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:• Potential further declines influenced by changes in consumer preferences or regulatory impacts• Monitoring livestock disease outbreaks that could further disrupt production• The impact of advancements in alternative proteins, which may affect demand in traditional duck meat markets

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