In 2023, the number of Brazilian scientific publications within the world's top 10% cited in AI was certain. The forecast for 2024 to 2028 shows a steady increase in these publications, with projections rising from 20.1 in 2024 to 20.34 in 2028. This indicates a consistent, albeit gradual, growth pattern in Brazil's AI research impact.
- While the year-on-year growth is modest, Brazil is maintaining its presence in high-impact AI research.
- CAGR analysis over the five-year forecast period suggests sustained incremental growth, highlighting Brazil's potential in AI research excellence.
Future trends to watch include Brazil's investment in AI education and research infrastructure, which may accelerate growth beyond current projections if coupled with greater international research collaboration and funding. Furthermore, the focus on emerging AI technologies could also boost Brazil's standing in high-impact publications.