Forecast: International Tourist Arrivals in United Arab Emirates

International tourist arrivals in the United Arab Emirates showed considerable growth from 2015 to 2019, increasing from 19.3 million to 25.3 million. However, the COVID-19 pandemic caused a substantial drop in 2020 to 8.1 million. The following year, 2021, saw a recovery with an 118.36% increase, reaching 17.7 million arrivals. In 2022, the upward trend continued with arrivals totaling 24.4 million, marking a 38.14% year-on-year increase. By 2023, visitor numbers had risen to 29.7 million, a 21.73% increase over the previous year. The average growth rate between 2018 and 2023 was 4.09% annually.

Forecasts suggest continued growth, with arrivals expected to reach 36.8 million by 2028, reflecting a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 3.38% and an overall growth rate of 18.1% over this period.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of economic factors, shifts in global travel behavior, and regional developments that could either facilitate or hinder travel to the UAE. Additionally, ongoing responses and adaptations to potential global health crises will be crucial in shaping tourism trends.

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