The share of Japan's scientific publications in the world's top 10% of cited works in organizational behavior and human resource management is forecasted to decline gradually from 3.78% in 2024 to 3.04% in 2028. This trend indicates a decrease in impact performance, with a year-on-year reduction ranging from 4.7% to 4.9%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period shows an average annual decrease of approximately 3.6%, reflecting a steady downtrend.

Future trends to watch for:

Emergence of AI and technology-driven research topics may influence citation numbers.
Strengthened international collaborations could reverse the currently projected decline.
Government policies promoting research and development could boost publication impact.