The US fresh avocado production has seen significant fluctuations from 2013 to 2023, with a notable decrease, reaching 251.26 million pounds in 2023 from a peak of 457.88 million pounds in 2015. The year-on-year variation highlighted substantial declines, particularly in 2022 and 2023, with -3.86%. The average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the past five years stands at -7.15%, indicating a persistent downward trend. Future projections for 2024-2028 anticipate further reductions, with an expected decrease to 203.98 million pounds by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR is -3.3%.

Key trends to watch for include:

Continued decline in production due to environmental factors and market conditions.
Potential innovations in agricultural practices that may stabilize or reverse the declining trend.
Shifting consumer preferences and their impact on demand and production strategies.