Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Artificial Intelligence in Germany

In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in Artificial Intelligence in Germany was 91.42. From 2024 to 2028, a slight but consistent downward trend is forecasted. The percentage of leading authorship decreases marginally each year, with a projected share of 91.34 by 2028, which denotes a decrease at an average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over five years.

Future trends to watch for:

  • The stability in authorship distribution suggests minimal shifts in the dominance of leading authors in AI publications, pointing towards sustained academic collaborations.
  • However, emerging AI disciplines or open access publication strategies could influence the dynamics of authorship roles, potentially affecting such trends.

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