The import of crude olive oil to the UK was approximately 54 million kilograms in 2023. Forecasts suggest a steady increase in volume, reaching 66.489 million kilograms by 2028. From 2024 to 2025, we observe a year-on-year increase of about 4.9%. This upward trend continues with a 4.6% increase from 2025 to 2026, 4.3% from 2026 to 2027, and 4.0% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period (2024-2028) is around 4.4%.

Future trends to watch include:

Effect of climate change on olive oil production in key exporting countries.
Trade policies and tariffs affecting import costs and volumes.
Consumer demand for healthier oils in the UK market, potentially increasing import needs.
Global geopolitical tensions impacting supply chain reliability.