Forecast: Cassava Production at Farm Gate in Indonesia

The cassava production value at farm gate in Indonesia has gradually declined from 4.86 billion USD in 2013 to 3.54 billion USD in 2023. The yearly data exhibits a steady negative trend with a few minor variations, such as a slight increase in 2018. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years stands at about -2.05%, underscoring a continual decrease. Forecasts indicate the decline will persist, with the production value expected to reach 3.19 billion USD by 2028. The forecasted average annual decline rate over the next five years is approximately -1.62%.

Key future trends to watch for include the impact of technological advancements on crop yield, government policies on agriculture, shifts in global and local demand for cassava, and climate change effects. Analyzing these factors could offer insights into whether this declining trend could potentially reverse or stabilize.

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