The cassava yield in Kenya has shown a mixed trend over the past decade. In 2023, the yield was 151.38 thousand hectograms per hectare, representing a minor increase of 1.58% from the previous year. The yield has experienced fluctuations, with notable year-on-year variations such as a significant decline in 2016 and 2017, followed by a substantial increase in 2018. However, annual growth rates stabilized afterward, with moderate variations. Over the last five years, the average annual growth rate (CAGR) was -0.29%, indicating an overall stagnation in yield improvement.
Looking ahead, the forecasted data predicts a steady increase in cassava yield, projecting a value of 163.69 thousand hectograms per hectare by 2028. The five-year CAGR is expected to be 1.23%, translating to a cumulative growth rate of 6.32% over this period. This suggests a gradual positive trend in productivity.
Future trends to watch for include:
- The impact of climate change and variability on crop yields.
- Technological advancements in agriculture and their adoption rates.
- Government policies and support programs for cassava farming.
- Market demand and price fluctuations influencing farmer incentives.
