The maritime container transport volume in Finland stood at 11.2 million metric tons in 2023. Reviewing the historical data from 2013 to 2023, the transport volume showcased several fluctuations. Peak years were observed in 2017, with significant growth from 2016 to 2017 (8.67%). Post-2019, there was a distinct declining trend, affected by economic factors, with negative year-on-year variations especially drastic in 2020 (-8.66%) and continued to decrease till 2022. The last two years presented a mitigating downtrend with a minimal positive turn in 2023 (0.35%). The five-year CAGR before 2023 was -3.21%, indicating an overall negative growth trend.
Forecasting for 2024-2028, the volumes are expected to gradually recover with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.23% and a total growth of 1.17% over this period. Despite the overall modest recovery trend, volumes will likely stabilize around the 11.3 million metric tons mark by 2028, displaying slight annual growth increments of around 0.02 to 0.03 million metric tons annually.
Key future trends to watch for include potential impacts from global economic health, shifts in trade policies, advancements in maritime technology, and fluctuations in demand for Finnish exports. Observing these factors can provide deeper insights into how the volumes might adjust beyond the forecasted period.
