Forecast: Pork Production in Kenya

The pork production in Kenya has shown significant fluctuation over the past decade. Actual data indicates production variability, particularly sharp declines in 2016, followed by considerable increases in subsequent years. The production stayed consistent at 23.0 thousand metric tons from 2021 to 2023 with no year-on-year growth. The annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years has been slightly negative at -1.65%.

Looking forward, the forecasts suggest a slight upward trend in production, growing from 23.5 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 24.9 thousand metric tons by 2028. The forecasted average yearly growth rate (CAGR) over the next five years is expected to be around 1.16%, with an overall growth rate of 5.96%.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on agriculture, changes in domestic demand for pork, evolving consumer preferences, and policy changes affecting the agricultural sector. These factors could significantly influence both the volatility and growth of pork production in Kenya.

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