The demand for pork in Kenya has shown variability over the past decade, with fluctuations between 13.0 thousand metric tons in 2014 and 16.0 thousand metric tons in 2023. Notably, significant year-on-year variations include a 15.38% increase in 2015, a decline of 6.67% in 2016, and another noteworthy 14.29% increase in 2018. From 2020 onwards, the demand stabilized around 16.0 thousand metric tons, indicating a steady market condition. Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) stood at 0.73%, while the forecasted growth rate over the next five years is expected to be 3.68%.
Future trends to watch for:
- Changing consumer preferences towards more affordable and accessible protein sources.
- Impact of economic conditions, including inflation and disposable income shifts.
- Government policies on agriculture and food security that might influence production and consumption.
- Technological advancements and innovations in pork farming, which could drive efficiency and output.
- Potential global supply chain disruptions that could impact local market dynamics.
