In 2023, the US imported barley amounting to approximately 680 thousand metric tons. Forecast data from 2024 onwards suggests a declining trend in barley imports. By 2028, it is projected that the import volume will decrease to 541 thousand metric tons. The year-on-year decrease from 2024 to 2025 is around 4.4%. From 2025 to 2026, a decline of approximately 4.5% is expected. The compound annual growth rate over the five-year span from 2024 to 2028 reflects an average annual decrease of about 4.6%.
Future trends to watch include potential impacts from climate change on domestic barley production, shifts in consumer demand for barley-based products, and changes in trade policies that could influence import dynamics. Additionally, advancements in agricultural technology and efficiency may play a role in altering the supply balance. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding barley import trends beyond 2028.