China's CO2 emissions are projected to rise incrementally from 10.16 billion metric tons in 2024 to 10.31 billion metric tons by 2028. In 2023, emissions stood at 10.12 billion metric tons. The year-on-year growth rate averages around 0.4%, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of approximately 0.37% over the five years. This indicates a steady, albeit modest, upward trend in emissions.

Future trends to watch for include:

China’s commitment to environmental policies that might influence emission trajectories.
Technological advancements in renewable energy adoption.
Global demand shifts due to economic changes or international climate agreements.