Kenya's forecast for coffee export volume from 2024 to 2028 shows a slight but steady decline. In 2023, the export volume stood at 42.8 thousand metric tons. By 2024, it's expected to be 42.4 thousand metric tons, decreasing to 42.0 thousand metric tons in 2025. This downward trend continues with forecasted volumes of 41.6 thousand metric tons in 2026, 41.2 thousand metric tons in 2027, and 40.8 thousand metric tons in 2028.
Year-on-year percentages reveal a consistent reduction of approximately 0.94% per year from 2024 to 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2023 to 2028 suggests an average annual decrease of around 1%.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on coffee production, shifts in global coffee demand, and technological advancements in agriculture that could alter yield and quality. Additionally, economic policies and trade agreements may either exacerbate or mitigate the observed decline in export volumes.