In 2023, Italy's child mortality rate for children aged 5-14 was recorded at 790 deaths. Over the next five years, the forecast shows a gradual decline in child mortality, dropping from 780 in 2024 to 730 in 2028. This marks a consistent year-on-year decrease, with percentage reductions indicating positive trends in healthcare and child safety.
Year-on-year, the child mortality rate will decrease by approximately 1.28% from 2024 to 2025, and 2.6% from 2025 to 2026 and is projected to continue this downward trend by reducing 1.33% yearly from 2026 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years is -1.60%, confirming a steady improvement.
Future trends to watch for include advances in medical technology, improvements in healthcare accessibility, and government policies targeting child health and welfare. Close monitoring of these factors can provide further insights into sustaining and potentially accelerating the decline in child mortality.
