In 2023, the share of US scientific publications in the top 10% cited in Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management stood at 11%. Forecasts suggest a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028, moving from 10.85% to 10.39%. The year-on-year percentage drop suggests a modest but consistent contraction of about 0.1% to 0.2% annually. The compound annual growth rate over the last five years shows an average decline per year, indicating a continuous decrease in influence or market share.
Future trends to watch for:
- Increased competition globally might pressure US dominance in these fields further.
- Emerging research hubs outside the US could lead to a more diversified landscape.
- Technological and methodological advances could redefine impactful research criteria.