Forecast: International Tourist Arrivals in Poland

From 2013 to 2023, international tourist arrivals in Poland exhibited a consistent upward trend, registering an overall increase from 72.31 million to 94.125 million. The growth rate showed some variability, with an initial high year-on-year growth of 7.3% in 2013 subsequently slowing down to 1.59% by 2023. Over the past five years (2019 to 2023), the average annual growth rate (CAGR) was 1.83%.

Future projections from 2024 to 2028 suggest steady growth, albeit at a slower pace, with a forecasted five-year CAGR of 1.13%. By 2028, tourist arrivals are expected to reach 101.07 million, representing a 5.76% increase from 2023.

Key future trends to watch for:

• Impact of geopolitical stability and global economic conditions on tourist arrivals.
• Influence of tourism infrastructure developments and digital innovations on travel patterns.
• Role of sustainable tourism practices in shaping visitor behavior and potential growth.
• Effects of global health scenarios, such as pandemics, on international travel trends.