In 2023, Türkiye’s spelt and wheat harvested production stood at 19.97 million metric tons, marking a 2.95% decrease year-on-year from 2022. Over the past five years, the average annual change in production (CAGR) was -0.68%, indicating a slightly declining trend overall. Looking back a decade, we see fluctuations: 2013 saw a notable 9.73% increase year-on-year, while 2021 experienced a steep decline of 13.82%, followed by a recovery of 11.91% in 2022.
The forecast for the next five years suggests a continued gradual decline in production, with a forecasted average annual change (forecasted CAGR) of -0.38%. By 2028, production is expected to fall to 19.5 million metric tons, a 1.9% decrease from 2023 levels.
Future trends to watch for:
- Climate change impacts on agricultural yields, which could influence production levels both positively and negatively.
- Technological advancements in farming techniques and genetic crop improvements that may improve yields.
- Economic and policy changes, including subsidies and trade agreements, that could affect farming incentives.
