The import of fresh or chilled swine carcasses and half carcasses to Italy is projected to experience a gradual decline from $294.52 million in 2024 to $287.82 million by 2028. This represents a slight annual decrease, with a year-on-year variation fluctuating around -0.6% to -0.7%. Over this five-year period, the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) is anticipated to be approximately -0.6%. In 2023, the import value was slightly higher than these projections, indicating a cooling trend in demand or supply factors impacting imports.
Future trends to consider include potential shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative proteins or an increase in local production that could further reduce import dependency. Additionally, closely monitoring trade policies within the EU and currency fluctuations could provide insights into future import dynamics and price competitiveness.
