Based on the data provided, the incidence of tuberculosis, including HIV-positive cases, in France shows a decreasing trend from 450 cases per hundred thousand persons in 2024 to 360 cases by 2028. In 2023, the incidence stood at 480 cases per hundred thousand, indicating a steady year-on-year decline.

This decrease reflects a year-over-year variation of around -4.44% between 2024 and 2025, -6.98% from 2025 to 2026, -5.00% from 2026 to 2027, and -5.26% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2023 to 2028 is approximately -5.49%, illustrating an ongoing reduction over the period.

Future trends to watch for include:

The impact of public health initiatives aiming to control tuberculosis spread.
Potential challenges from emerging drug-resistant strains of tuberculosis.
The influence of socioeconomic factors on access to healthcare and treatment adherence.
The degree to which HIV programs intersect with tuberculosis management effectively.