Forecast: Antiretroviral Therapy Coverage in Viet Nam

The antiretroviral therapy coverage in Viet Nam has exhibited a robust upward trajectory over the analysis period of 2013 to 2023. In 2023, the coverage stood at 77 units for Persons Living with HIV. The year-on-year variation showcases a general growth, with significant increases in the early years, although the rate of growth has tapered off recently, indicating maturing market conditions. For instance, the year-on-year increase from 2013 to 2025 ranges from a high of 17.07% to a low of 2.67%. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) also presents a diminishing pattern from 22.1% to 4.43%, reflecting a slowdown in expansion.

Looking ahead, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests a steady but modest growth, with the forecasted 5-year CAGR at 1.95% and a total growth rate of 10.13% over this period.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential policy changes and international aid affecting funding and accessibility.
  • Advancements in treatment methods and their adoption in Viet Nam.
  • Initiatives aimed at reducing new HIV infections which could influence the demand for antiretroviral therapy.

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