The forecast for barley production in China indicates a gradual decline from 1.96 million metric tons in 2024 to 1.85 million metric tons by 2028. Compared to the 2023 production level, this represents a consistent downward trend over the forecast period. The year-on-year variations show a decrease of approximately 1.5% from 2024 to 2025, 1.6% from 2025 to 2026, and 1.1% from 2026 to 2027. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the forecast period averages at a reduction of around 1.5% per year.
Future trends to watch for:
- Impacts of climate change on agricultural productivity and water availability.
- Government policies on crop diversification and support for barley farmers.
- Shifts in domestic and global demand for barley, especially in the brewing industry.
- Technological advancements in agricultural practices that may influence yield.
