Forecast: Mutton and Goat Meat Production in Egypt

The production of mutton and goat meat in Egypt has seen significant fluctuations from 2014 to 2023. Peak production occurred in 2016 at 129.0 thousand metric tons, followed by a sharp decline, most notably between 2017 and 2018. The year-on-year variation highlights these shifts, with a substantial decrease of 27.13% in 2017 and 21.28% in 2018. Production continued to decline, reaching 61.0 thousand metric tons in 2023, with an average annual decrease (CAGR) of -3.79% over the last five years.

Future forecasts indicate a continued downward trend, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -6.81%, leading to an anticipated production of 39.7 thousand metric tons by 2028. This corresponds to a total decline of approximately 29.73% over the upcoming five years.

Future trends to watch for:

• Impact of policy changes on livestock management.
• Influence of climate change on agricultural outputs.
• Potential investment in technology for efficiency improvements.
• Shifts in consumer demand and dietary preferences.

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