As of 2024, Italy's forecasted import of live swine (excluding pure-bred breeding, weighing 50 kg or more) is poised to decrease gradually from 40.329 million kilograms in 2024 to 38.492 million kilograms by 2028. In 2023, prior to these projections, this figure was approximately 40.804 million kilograms.
Year-on-year variation indicates a consistent decline: 1.17% decrease in 2025, 1.16% in 2026, 1.15% in 2027, and 1.14% in 2028. Analyzing the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this 5-year forecast period reveals an average annual reduction of 0.93%.
Future trends to monitor include potential shifts in Italian demand due to changing consumer preferences, alterations in trade policy or tariffs, and environmental considerations related to livestock importation. Agricultural policy changes and domestic production capability may also significantly impact these forecasts.