The incidence of tuberculosis, including HIV-positive cases, is expected to decrease in Canada from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, the incidence stood at about 150.0 cases per hundred persons. Forecasts for 2024 and 2025 maintain this level of 150.0 cases, suggesting stabilizing trends. By 2026, a decline to 140.0 cases is anticipated, maintaining this figure into 2027. By 2028, a further decrease to 130.0 cases is projected. The year-on-year variations indicate a consistent decline from 2026 onwards. The compound annual growth rate shows a declining trend of approximately 3.5% per year from 2024 to 2028.
Looking ahead, key trends to monitor include advancements in healthcare technology that may improve prevention and treatment of both tuberculosis and HIV, public health campaigns targeting awareness and early detection, and potential impacts of migration patterns and population density on transmission rates. Enhanced surveillance and tailored health strategies could further influence these forecasted trends.
