The durum wheat closing stocks in Italy are forecasted to decline gradually from 455,000 metric tons in 2024 to 449,000 metric tons in 2028. This marks a year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.44% from 2024 to 2025 and a 0.22% decrease over the following years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years shows an average annual decrease of 0.33%. In comparison, the closing stocks stood at a higher volume in 2023 as these anticipated declines begin to reflect in 2024 data.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts from climate change on wheat cultivation, shifts in global demand for pasta and other durum wheat-based products, and trade policies affecting wheat imports and exports. Monitoring these factors can provide insight into future variations in Italy's durum wheat stock levels.
