Forecast: Wheat Demand in South Korea

Wheat demand in South Korea has experienced fluctuations over the past decade, with notable variations in annual growth rates. For example, demand grew significantly in 2015 and 2016, with year-on-year increases of 4.13% and 4.67%, respectively. However, this was followed by a period of decline and stagnation, as illustrated by the 2017 (-2.27%) and 2018 (-5.87%) drops. The most recent years, including 2023, saw minimal growth with a 0.063% increase year-on-year. This stabilizing trend is reflected in the 0.48% CAGR over the past five years.

Key future trends to watch for include:

  • Stable demand projections, with annual changes averaging around 0.04% CAGR for the next five years.
  • The effect of global market conditions, including grain prices and trade policies, on South Korean wheat imports.
  • Alterations in domestic dietary preferences that may influence future wheat consumption patterns.

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