In 2023, the import volume of frozen hams, shoulders, and cuts of pig meat to France stood at a certain benchmark point, representing historical demand. From 2024 to 2028, the forecast indicates a consistent decrease in imports, with the volume expected to decline from 3.5705 million kilograms in 2024 to 2.4556 million kilograms in 2028.
From 2024 to 2025, the volume drops by approximately 7.9%, followed by a similar decreasing trend in the subsequent years with a notable drop of around 9.2% from 2027 to 2028. Over the five-year period, the compound annual decline rate (CAGR) averages around 7.4% annually.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential changes in France's domestic pig meat production could impact import needs.
- Shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative proteins might further reduce pig meat demand.
- Trade agreements and policy shifts in the EU influencing import dynamics.
