In 2023, wheat output in China stood at 5.88 thousand kilograms per hectare. Forecasts indicate a gradual upward trend, with anticipated outputs rising to 5.95 in 2024, 6.03 in 2025, 6.10 in 2026, 6.17 in 2027, and 6.23 in 2028. Over these years, the forecasted year-on-year increase maintains a consistent pattern of growth. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period highlights an average annual increase of approximately 1.15%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Impact of innovations in agricultural technology and genetically modified crops.
Effects of climate change and its influence on crop yields.
Changes in governmental policies regarding agricultural support and trade.
Potential shifts in domestic consumption and global demand for wheat.