Forecast: Import of Fresh or Chilled Swine Carcasses and Half Carcasses to Germany

In 2023, Germany imported 523 million kilograms of fresh or chilled swine carcasses and half carcasses. The forecast data indicates a steady growth in imports, reaching approximately 555.35 million kilograms by 2028. From 2024 to 2025, there's a 1.26% increase, followed by similar year-on-year growth: 1.22% in 2026, 1.18% in 2027, and 1.14% in 2028. Over the next five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected at around 1.13%, indicating moderate growth in import volumes.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Changes in Germany's domestic swine production which could impact import needs.
  • EU agricultural policies affecting trade agreements or tariffs on meat imports.
  • Shifts in consumer behavior towards plant-based diets which could alter meat demand.
  • Potential impacts of global economic factors such as inflation or recession on import levels.

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