In 2023, Germany imported 523 million kilograms of fresh or chilled swine carcasses and half carcasses. The forecast data indicates a steady growth in imports, reaching approximately 555.35 million kilograms by 2028. From 2024 to 2025, there's a 1.26% increase, followed by similar year-on-year growth: 1.22% in 2026, 1.18% in 2027, and 1.14% in 2028. Over the next five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected at around 1.13%, indicating moderate growth in import volumes.
Future trends to watch for:
- Changes in Germany's domestic swine production which could impact import needs.
- EU agricultural policies affecting trade agreements or tariffs on meat imports.
- Shifts in consumer behavior towards plant-based diets which could alter meat demand.
- Potential impacts of global economic factors such as inflation or recession on import levels.