The winter spelt and wheat harvested production in Italy is forecasted to decrease from 2.83 million metric tons in 2024 to 2.73 million metric tons by 2028. Compared to the 2023 baseline, this represents a declining trend. Year-on-year variations are negative, with an overall Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicating an average decrease per year over the 5-year horizon.

Future trends to watch for include:

Climate change impacts, such as changes in precipitation patterns and temperature extremes.
Potential shifts in agricultural policy and subsidy adjustments affecting wheat and spelt production.
Technological advancements in farming that could mitigate yield declines.