China's milk production has shown fluctuations over the past decade, experiencing a slight decline in the early years (2013-2017) with annual variations ranging from -5.48% to -0.83%. However, stabilization and growth resumed from 2018 onwards, marking an average year-on-year increase of around 6% in recent years. By 2023, milk production stood at 41.6 million metric tons, supported by consecutive annual growth. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) for the last five years was 6.23%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Continued growth, albeit at a slower forecasted 5-year CAGR of 3.86% through 2028.
Improvements in dairy farming technology and practices contributing to higher yields.
Increased domestic demand driven by rising health awareness and nutritional needs.
Potential impacts of global market dynamics and trade policies on import/export balance.