Forecast: Import of Live Swine Except Pure-Bred Breeding Weighing Less Than 50 kg to the UK

The forecast for imports of live swine into the UK, excluding pure-bred swine weighing less than 50 kg, indicates a gradual decline from 2024 through 2028. The year-on-year variation shows a consistent decrease, with a cumulative annual growth rate (CAGR) reflecting a slight negative trend. The actual imports in 2023 were slightly higher compared to the forecasted numbers from 2024 onwards. This steady decline suggests a tapering demand or changes in domestic supply or regulations impacting imports.

Future trends to monitor include:

  • Potential regulatory changes affecting animal imports post-Brexit
  • Shifts in consumer demand towards alternative protein sources
  • Domestic swine production capacity and efficiency improvements
  • Global health concerns impacting livestock trade, such as disease outbreaks

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