The forecast for imports of live swine into the UK, excluding pure-bred swine weighing less than 50 kg, indicates a gradual decline from 2024 through 2028. The year-on-year variation shows a consistent decrease, with a cumulative annual growth rate (CAGR) reflecting a slight negative trend. The actual imports in 2023 were slightly higher compared to the forecasted numbers from 2024 onwards. This steady decline suggests a tapering demand or changes in domestic supply or regulations impacting imports.
Future trends to monitor include:
- Potential regulatory changes affecting animal imports post-Brexit
- Shifts in consumer demand towards alternative protein sources
- Domestic swine production capacity and efficiency improvements
- Global health concerns impacting livestock trade, such as disease outbreaks