Barley production in the US saw a steady decline from 2024 to 2028, with values dropping from 3.0038 million metric tons in 2024 to 2.58 million metric tons in 2028. In 2023, actual production was higher than in the subsequent forecast years, indicating a downward trend.
Year-on-year analysis shows a consistent decrease in production: a 3.64% decrease from 2024 to 2025, a 3.7% decrease from 2025 to 2026, a 3.76% decrease from 2026 to 2027, and a 3.82% decrease from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for the period from 2024 to 2028 highlights an average annual decline of approximately 3.73%.
Future trends to watch for include further declines driven by potential climate impacts, shifts in agricultural priorities, and changes in domestic demand. Monitoring advances in barley cultivation technology and fluctuations in related grains' market will be critical for forecasting adjustments.
