The forecast for fresh pork carcasses and half-carcasses consumption per capita in Italy indicates a gradual decline from 4.71 kg in 2024 to 4.56 kg by 2028. This represents a decrease of approximately 3.2% over the forecasted period. In 2023, the consumption stood at 4.75 kg per capita, reflecting a slight downward trend already initiated.
Year-on-year variations show moderate decreases, with the consumption declining by 1.06% from 2024 to 2025 and progressively slowing down through to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period indicates a consistent average decline of 0.8% per year.
Future trends to watch for include potential shifts in consumer preferences towards alternative proteins, which may further impact pork demand. Economic factors such as inflation and disposable income changes, as well as policy regulations on meat consumption, are also critical variables to monitor in this market segment.
